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Vegmedic
March 11th, 2006, 11:58 AM
Bird flu targeting the young
As death toll nears 100, scientists scramble to explain why H5N1 virus is killing healthy people under 40
Mar. 11, 2006. 07:57 AM
RITA DALY
STAFF REPORTER
http://www.thestar.com/NASApp/cs/ContentServer?pagename=thestar/Layout/Article_Type1&c=Article&cid=1142031016596&call_pageid=968332188492&col=968793972154&t=TS_Home


With the World Health Organization set to announce the 100th death from bird flu any day now, data compiled by the Toronto Star lead to one particularly compelling question: Why does the H5N1 virus attack the young?

The Star's analysis shows that all but six of the 97 people who have died globally so far from bird flu were under 40.

People, in other words, with the strongest immune systems and not, as one might expect, the elderly and those already sick. The median age was 19, and a quarter of them were under age 12.

Children, teenagers and young adults are the unfortunate victims of the deadly H5N1 bird flu sweeping through poultry farms in Asia, Africa and now Europe.

Hooked up to breathing tubes and dialysis machines in local hospital beds, bodies soaked in sweat, and blood oozing from their nostrils and mouth, they have a mere 50 per cent chance of pulling through. The rest die in a matter of days.

Any day now the World Health Organization will announce the 100th death from the bird flu that re-emerged in late 2003.

Yesterday, health officials confirmed a 4-year-old Indonesian boy died last month, bringing the number of confirmed cases to 176 and the world death toll to 97. Another three deaths in Azerbaijan are under investigation.

Although human cases are uncommon, it is now apparent the H5N1 will eventually reach North American shores, possibly via migratory birds in Alaska within six to 12 months. So what health experts know about how and whom it strikes is crucial.

So far, they know nearly everyone who died of the respiratory disease was in close contact with infected domestic birds, and most were young and previously healthy. Yet scientists still aren't sure why they fell ill, while others equally exposed to H5N1-infected chickens and ducks were spared.

"There are still a lot of unanswered questions and that's one of them," Sonja Olsen, an epidemiologist for the Atlanta-based U.S. Centers for Disease Control, said in an interview from Thailand where she is studying human cases of the H5N1.

There are other unanswered questions, like why is it some family members become infected and others not? Why aren't health-care workers in hospitals or unprotected agricultural workers slaughtering chickens also getting sick?

Originally surfacing in Hong Kong in 1997, killing six, then again in early 2003, killing one, the bird flu re-emerged later with a vengeance, decimating poultry stocks and infecting more people in areas of Southeast Asia.

The 97 deaths in the third wave are now spread across seven countries — Vietnam, Cambodia, Indonesia, China, Thailand, Turkey and Iraq. The infection rate is already double this year over last, with more than three human cases a week as infected birds spread the virus further afield.

"A lot of the human cases of bird flu have occurred in people under 25 and we're still not exactly sure why that is," said the WHO's Maria Cheng.

"They may have different behaviour patterns, they may be exposed to the virus in closer ways, they may be more susceptible to it. But there's such a small number of cases that it's difficult to draw any conclusions about how it's transmitted in target populations."

WHO officials stress the number of deaths from H5N1 bird flu is extremely low compared to the 250,000 to 500,000 who die annually from seasonal human flu, or the nearly 800 people who died during the SARS epidemic in 2003, 44 of them in Toronto. But health experts also warn no bird flu has ever sickened and killed so many people as H5N1.

The virus has only a limited ability to infect people, but experts fear it could mutate and spread easily among humans, sparking a pandemic that could kill millions within months.

Canadian officials have devised an emergency plan in the event of a pandemic, but say as long as H5N1 remains bird flu there is little cause for alarm in a country where people and poultry live separate lives.

In the past century we've had three human flu pandemics: in 1918, 1957 and 1968. The most lethal — the 1918 Spanish flu — also targeted the young and healthy, killing 20 million to 50 million worldwide.

In a study published in the online medical journal Respiratory Research in November, Hong Kong scientists noted the H5N1 was creating what's called a "cytokine storm" in its healthy victims, causing their immune system to overreact to the virus, flood the lungs with an overabundance of antibodies and cause extensive lung damage, eventually shutting them down. It's the same response scientists believe caused so many deaths during the Spanish flu.

The H5N1 virus has already earned the notorious reputation of being the worst flu in birds. An unprecedented 200 million have died or been slaughtered. It is so highly pathogenic, infected chickens drop dead in 48 hours. This month, the virus showed up in several domestic cats and a weasel-like animal called a stone marten in Germany and Austria, creating fear in the European Union that it might easily be infecting other species.

Earl Brown, an avian flu expert and professor of immunology and virology at the University of Ottawa, said the behaviour of small children playing among infected fowl could logically account for the high infection rate among the young.

A recent news report saw 15 Iraqi children running through an area where thousands of culled chickens were dumped, tying them to sticks and waving them in the air.

A 14-year-old Turkish boy and his two sisters, 15 and 11, died in January after playing with the head of an infected chicken the family slaughtered and ate. And an 8-year-old Turkish girl died after kissing and hugging her dying pet chicken.

But each person's immunity, even genetic factors, may also play a part in determining who falls ill and dies, Brown said.

"On average, you'll get influenza once every five or 10 years, so kids are less likely to have antibodies from prior exposure," he said. "Adults will have had experiences with different influenza viruses."

It still doesn't explain the disproportionate number of people in their 20s and 30s who have succumbed to the disease. One theory is that some people have immunity to the N1 antigen of the bird flu virus developed from the H1N1 Spanish flu. That virus was still circulating in a milder form until 1957 and also re-emerged as a milder strain in 1977.

Each time there is a suspected case, WHO officials quickly send a team of field experts to investigate.

Swab samples are sent to the organization's reference labs for further tests and to determine whether the virus has changed genetically in a way that might allow it to transmit more easily between people.

So far, they have found most confirmed cases involve people with backyard poultry farms who had close contact with infected or dying birds — in some cases slaughtering, defeathering and preparing them for dinner.

"When the chickens get sick and die, they get plucked, eviscerated and put into a pot, so maybe it's the mother and kids that are exposed at this point," Brown said.

Virologists know infection occurs through contact with blood, feces and other body fluids, and WHO officials recently reiterated the flu virus is also airborne, posing even a greater threat than AIDS.

If the virus were to start spreading easily among people, the first warning signal of a possible pandemic will be more and more clusters of people getting sick.

The CDC's Olsen and a team of researchers looked for this while examining 15 family clusters of infected cases in Vietnam, Thailand, Cambodia and Indonesia between Jan. 2004 and July 2005 — a mother and child; siblings; cousins; a niece and aunt; a teenager, her older brother and grandfather.

They found no increase over time.

But Olsen said most had not been investigated thoroughly enough to say for certain there was no person-to-person transmission.

"There was only one where you could clearly say there was person-to-person transmission and the others left you sort of wondering," she said.

WHO officials said this week there are three confirmed cases of suspected person-to-person transmission:

In January 2004, Ngo Le Hung, a 31-year-old Vietnamese schoolteacher, became infected and died from a chicken he bought for his wedding, and his two sisters also died.

In September 2004 a dying 11-year-old Sakuntala Premphasri infected her mother Pranee, 26, in Thailand and both died. And in July 2005 a 38-year-old father is believed to have infected his two daughters, aged one and eight — all three died.

Cheng said there may be other cases in which people became infected through human-to-human transmission, but there isn't enough evidence to prove it. There may also be many less severely ill people going unnoticed.

"But we haven't seen any substantial change in the virus and that is really the trigger we're watching for."

Diana
March 11th, 2006, 12:25 PM
People with strong immune systems were also particularly vulnerable to the Spanish flu. Spanish flu was also originally a bird flu. The doctors are not quite sure why young healthy people die, but they suspect it is because their strong immune systems overact. Or else because people who have had flu a few times in their lives have some antibodies which help in fighting the disease.

I read another interesting article on bird flu this morning. Where I live there have been about 10 dead birds already diagnosed with having the H5N1 virus but the vets are puzzled because they cannot say with a certainty that it is the virus that killed them all, as the virus is there in very LOW quantities compared for instance to the amount of the virus found in the dead birds in Germany. So did they maybe die of something else and it's just a coincidence that the H5N1 virus was found in them?

Vegnik
March 16th, 2006, 04:17 PM
I hope people on this list, and others, have seen articles like this:

Eating Meat Threatens Millions With Bird Flu
http://goveg.com/birdflu.asp

[Also see http://www.healthy.net/scr/news.asp?Id=8004
and http://www.all-creatures.org/health/birdflu.html ]

Modern factory farms raise animals in extremely unnatural conditions. Almost all 10 billion land animals who are slaughtered in the U.S. each year are forced to live in extremely crowded sheds. They are surrounded by their own filth and breathe ammonia-laden air that destroys their lungs and compromises their immune systems. It comes as no surprise that these facilities have become major sources for deadly disease outbreaks such as hoof-and-mouth disease, mad cow disease, Mycobacterium paratuberculosis (which is thought by most scientists to cause Crohn’s disease in humans), and now the most dangerous of all: bird flu.

*Star*Lass*
March 16th, 2006, 05:57 PM
There was a documentary on tv a few nights ago. It said that the peak age targeted by bird flu is 25-34. :-/

meatless
March 16th, 2006, 07:06 PM
There was a documentary on tv a few nights ago. It said that the peak age targeted by bird flu is 25-34. :-/


:sick:

rainbowmoon
March 17th, 2006, 12:45 AM
This is pretty....not good. Is there anything we can do? Is a vaccine in the works?

tails4wagging
March 17th, 2006, 01:00 AM
Here in the UK. DEFRA has declaired a cull around 3 kilometres from any dead bird who had bird flu. The RSPCA has been told by DEFRA that it shouldnt handle dead birds and has adviced the public to report to DEFRA any dead birds seen. I for one would be reluctant to do that knowing healthy birds will be slaughtered around the site if proven it died of Bird flu. I wouldt trust DEFRA with its past history of killing dairy cattle during the BSE crisis.

Tova
March 17th, 2006, 07:16 AM
Is there anything we can do? Is a vaccine in the works?
I put these links in the other flu thread. Sambucol was 99% effective against the avain flu!

http://www.israel21c.com/bin/en.jsp?enDispWho=Articles%5El1209&enSearchQueryID=5&enPage=BlankPage&enDisplay=view&enDispWhat=object&enVersion=0&enZone=Health&

AND

http://www.israel21c.com/bin/en.jsp?enDispWho=Articles%5El822&enSearchQueryID=5&enPage=BlankPage&enDisplay=view&enDispWhat=object&enVersion=0&enZone=Health&

Diana
March 17th, 2006, 01:45 PM
This bird flu is NOT a serious problem for humans.

It's only if it mutates that it COULD be serious (but even that is not certain - one will only know when it happens).

This disease has been around for years now and has only killed about 100 people. Ever year thousands and thousands of people die of "ordinary" flu and no-one panics.

No need to get one's knickers in a twist. Relax Max!!! Cool Raoul!!!

karenlovessnow
March 18th, 2006, 05:33 AM
^^^^ This is true. I'm going to try and not worry about it yet. But the so called experts seem to be pretty convinced that it's going to happen. Once it mutates and spreads human to human, then I'm going to panic. Really. I can definitely do panic. I just read an article from ABC News that says to start stocking up on tuna and water and keep it under your bed. Under your bed? What's with that?

Diana
March 18th, 2006, 06:40 AM
Karen: I know what it's like to panic. I had an irrational panic when the SARS thing began. Can you believe that I went to stock up on surgical gloves and surgeon's masks???? (I still have them in the cupboard to remind me of my sillyness). I would NEVER have taken an airplane at that time because there was talk of the disease being easily caught in the closed circuit air conditioning of airplanes.

It COULD mutate. But this does NOT mean it would cause millions of deaths. This is an option and the OMS must take that seriously, that is their job and they have to do it properly. Also, this could take YEARS to come and by then a lot of research will have been done.

A world pandemic is WAY overdue. So it could happen tomorrow, or in twenty or fifty years time. There have always been pandemics in the world.

A fascinating book to read is "Plague's Progress" by Arno Karlen. It was published in the 90s. It's a social history of plague and disease. It reads almost like a novel, only it's true. You can buy used copies from Amazon for a few dollars.